Projections, weekly picks, value plays and a DraftKings Classic optimizer in one place. Every lineup is optimized based on the assumptions you select — never a promise of results.
Live state of the player pool and projections.
DraftKings Main Slate (Classic) · 11 games · Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ET
Full refresh of all games
Wind advisory in BUF (12-18 mph)
Salaries and projections loaded
Latest update: Week 2 projection refresh complete: Rashee Rice upgraded after a full practice report, Bo Nix downgraded to questionable.
Highest-conviction plays from this week's model run.
RB · ATL vs CAR
Projected 22 opportunities against a defense allowing 5.1 yards per carry to the position. Workload plus matchup is the cleanest combination on the slate.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
WR · CIN vs BAL
A 31% target share in a divisional game with the slate's highest total. Even a median outcome clears his price.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
QB · BUF vs MIA
Rushing volume inside the 10 provides the sturdiest quarterback floor, and the wind advisory is below the threshold our model treats as meaningful.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
WR · ATL vs CAR
Leads the slate in red-zone target share against a bottom-five secondary in expected points allowed.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
WR · KC vs LV
Route participation jumped to 88% in Week 1 while the salary still reflects a part-time role. Projected points per $1K lead all mid-tier receivers.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
RB · TB @ NO
Snap share jumped in the Week 1 opener. At this salary the break-even projection is under 10 points.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
DST · PIT vs CLE
Best projected matchup on the board at a salary that funds two premium skill players.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
Where the projection does not support the salary or the ownership.
RB · MIA @ BUF
Outcome hinges on one or two explosive plays. Valid in large-field tournaments, difficult to justify in cash games.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
RB · LAR @ SF
Volume is real but efficiency metrics lagged in the Week 1 opener against a front that ranks top-three in run-stop win rate.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
WR · MIA @ BUF
Price assumes a ceiling game while target share slipped in Week 1. Our model prefers the cheaper teammate at similar upside.
Updated Sun 11:42 AM ET
Every status change that moved a projection today.
Cincinnati's projected pass rate over expectation is slate-highest, and Baltimore has allowed the most receiving yards to perimeter receivers in the Week 1 opener.
Yards before contact has collapsed and San Francisco's interior front ranks third in run-stop win rate. Volume alone is not enough at this salary.
Eleven games, two projected shootouts, and one pace-up spot the field is likely to underrate.
M. Okafor · Sun Sep 20, 10:15 AM ET · 7 min read
Why the same projection set should produce two completely different lineups.
R. Whitfield · Sat Sep 19, 6:40 PM ET · 9 min read
How our projections moved after the morning inactive reports.
D. Castellanos · Sun Sep 20, 11:40 AM ET · 5 min read
Correlated builds ranked by simulated finish.
The highest projected total on the slate with two pass catchers and a bring-back from Baltimore to capture the shootout outcome.
Cheap correlation that keeps salary free for two premium running backs. The wind advisory suppresses projected ownership.
Detroit projects for the most plays inside the 20 on the slate. The cheap third receiver is the leverage piece.
Pairs a lead-back projection with an independent defence in a separate favourable matchup, a classic cash-game structure.
Two backs above $7,500 in 62% of simulated optimals
Two pass catchers in 54% of winning structures
Target band for large-field tournaments
Winning lineups rarely leave more on the table
Sample value leader this week: Bucky Irving at 2.81 projected points per $1K.